Full Women’s Champions League match schedule for this week. 🗓️

Our top three Women’s Champions League picks for the week. ✅

18:45 — Hacken Women vs Chelsea Women

18:45 — Real Madrid Women vs Paris FC Women

21:00 — AS Roma Women vs Servette Women

21:00 — Inter Milan Women vs Manchester City Women

21:00 — Paris Saint-Germain Women vs Bayern Munich Women

18:45 — Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs HB Koge Women

21:00 — Juventus Women vs Olympique Lyon Women

21:00 — Benfica Women vs USC Landhaus Women

18:45 — Barcelona Women vs Arsenal Women

Top 3 Stats:

CXSports says: There’s one thing that stands out in this match that makes the outcome a foregone conclusion — Chelsea doesn’t concede, and Hacken don’t score. Hacken has just one goal scored in three Champions League games this season. And we’re reluctant to count that one goal as all that meaningful anyway — it arrived in stoppage time against Paris FC, who’s currently in 14th. So, at best, we can say that Hacken scores 0.33. Chelsea, on the other hand, has conceded exactly zero goals in three games this Champions League season, with a 1-0 over Austria Wien, 0-0 away at Lyon (who’s currently 2nd on the table), and 2-0 over Roma. And in case there were any questions about the quality of attack that Chelsea’s faced, Lyon scored 14 goals in its other two games — 8-0 against Servette and 6-0 against Inter. So Chelsea holding them to none isn’t exactly nothing.

Now, of course, all of that’s just a 3-game sample. So, maybe that giant gap is down to a handful of anomalous games. And, if we expand our view out to the broader picture, things start to look better for Hacken — they’ve scored 80 and conceded 16 in 25 domestic league games this year (3.20 scored vs 0.64 conceded a game). And that would put them more or less on par with Chelsea, who’ve scored 28 against 5 conceded in nine games (3.11 scored vs 0.56 conceded on average). The only problem is, these leagues aren’t exactly comparable. England tops UEFA’s five-year women’s association rankings with a coefficient with 78.749 points, while trails well behind with just 33.665 points. And, given that gap, we suspect there’s no reason to believe that Hacken’s spectacular domestic numbers have much of a chance of suddenly revealing themselves at the European level in a game against Chelsea.

With that said, Chelsea’s numbers don’t translate cleanly, either. In their three Champions League games this season, they’ve only scored 3 goals, which given them an average of 1.00 a game against a broader competition average of 1.78. And, on Saturday, they only managed one goal from 21 shots against Everton. So that suggests this game might not end in a landslide, even if there is a massive imbalance between Chelsea’s tight defense and Hacken’s borderline-hopeless offense.

Still, Hacken’s defence is ordinary (1.67 conceded a game), so while Chelsea might not score big here, they will at least score. Thus, expect to see this end in a clean victory for Chelsea, even if the final scoreline doesn’t reflect just how imbalance this game really is.

Score prediction: 0-2 for Chelsea

Bet: Chelsea Victory

Odds Range: 1.08-1.20

Bet: Both Teams to Score (No)

Odds Range: 1.55-1.80

Top 3 Stats:

CXSports says: Based on the Women’s Champions League table, this one looks like it should be a fairly close game. Roma’s currently sitting in 17th place with 1 draw and 2 losses, while Servette’s sitting in 13th with 1 win and 2 losses. What’s more, both sides are currently sitting on a -8 goal difference. However, there’s a problem — the 3-game sample the season so far provides is far from representative. In reality, one side here scores freely while the other struggles to stop just about anyone from scoring.

And yes, Servette is the side that’s doing all the conceding here — they’ve conceded 14 goals in three Champions League games this season (4.7 a game!!!). And before you assume that it might not be that bad since they’re clearly scoring goals given their goal difference is identical to Roma’s, don’t be fooled — 5 of their 6 goals scored this season came in a single game against Leuven, the bottom-ranked side in the competition (who also happens to the the side Servette took their only victory for the season against). What’s more, in that Leuven game, Servette only conceded a single goal, which means their other two games against not-bottom-of-the-table competition actually resulted in a per-game concession average of 6.5 goals a game (13 conceded in 2 games), which is pretty shocking to put it mildly.

As for Roma, while their Champions League results might not reflect it yet, they’re generally vastly superior to Servette. Here, we need only look at their domestic league results — Roma’s scored  21 in six Serie A games this season while winning all six of their games, doing so with an average of 3.50 scored and 1.17 conceded. As for, Servette, while their domestic performance only looks slightly more tame — 2.55 scored vs 1.18 conceded — Switzerland sits outside UEFA’s top ten for women’s club football (13th with 19.750 points), while Roma sits in the top-5 (5th with 48.249 points).

So, how does this one play out? Well, we think Servette has a chance of scoring here — Roma’s defense has been far from perfect. However, once we put a Roma side that’s scoring as freely as it does (against stronger competition) up against a Servette side that can’t match it (against weaker competition), there’s really only one possible way this game can go.

Score prediction: 2-1 for Roma

Bet: Roma Victory

Odds Range: 1.09-1.20

Bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes)

Odds Range: 1.55-1.73

Top 3 Stats:

CXSports says: Lyon’s numbers are ridiculous — they pretty much score at will while basically conceding nothing. To put some specifics on that, Lyon has scored 62 goals in its 11 games across all competitions this season. And, at the other end, they’ve only conceded 6. And from the three of those games that occurred in the Champions League, they walked away with 14 scored while conceding none. Meanwhile, Juventus’s has scored much more modestly in this competition (8 scored) while conceding more (3 conceded).

Of course, none of that suggests that Juventus is hopeless in attack or defense. However, there is a gap. And once we pull in Juventus’s domestic numbers giving us a bigger sample of games, their defence appears to be a bit of a problem. Particularly at home. Here, their Italian league numbers who they’ve conceded 2.75 goals a game (nearly double the league average). And throughout that, they’ve only taken 9 of 18 possible points. And while that’s not a disaster, it looks paltry compared with Lyon, who’ve taken 24 of 24 points available in the French league (a stronger league).

About the only thing running in Juventus’s favor here is the fact that they have at least scored in all 9 of their games this season. And they did managed to lead Lyon 3-0 at half-time point when they met last November. However, neither of those results has won them anything. And it’s unlikely to do so here. As such, we consider this one to be more or less in the bag for Lyon, and probably by a decent margin.

Score prediction: 1-3 for Lyon

Bet: Lyon Victory

Odds Range: 1.07-1.19

Bet: Over/Under (Over 2.5)

Odds Range: 1.15-1.30