- What Are the Odds?
- Posts
- š L is for Loser (and Liverpool)
š L is for Loser (and Liverpool)
This weekend's hottest value plays
Good Morning āļø,
Itās Lucas here, your Chief Predictions Officer at What Are the Odds?
This week in āagainst the oddsā news, Liverpool just suffered its fourth straight EPL loss over the weekend.

Will they keep it up? Or will this be the week they finally break that losing streak?
Guess youāre just gonna have to read on to find out.
And hereās the rest of what weāve got for you in this weekās edition of What Are the Odds?
A round-up of the top value plays, sure things, and āitās a long shot but totally worth backingā Premier League odds. š¦µā½
A little half-time nostalgia thatāll take us back to a time when Liverpool wasnāt a lost cause. šļøāØ
A nice little piece of advice for Liverpool⦠and for the rest of us any time we think of giving up all hope. š„
Sharing is caring: Help grow the team and show your friends you care ā send them this link https://whataretheodds.io/subscribe
SCORE PREDICTIONS [FIRST HALF]
This weekās top tips and score predictions, brought to you by CXSports ā the leader in odds and score predictions.
ā½Brighton vs Leeds
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 16:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: Thereās a slight (very slight) chance of a draw pushing up the odds on a (very likely) Brighton victory here, making this a great value play.
CXSports says: Letās rattle off a few quick stats. First, Brightonās performance in past head-to-heads is clearly superior ā in semi-recent history, Leeds have failed to beat Brighton even once (2D, 2W for Brighton in the last 4). Then weāve got the not insignificant fact that Brighton is undefeated at home this season with a goal difference of +2. Leeds, on the other hand, have posted a terrible away record ā in 4 away matches theyāve suffered 3 losses. As for how this game plays out, we canāt rule out the possibility of a draw entirely. But itās so unlikely that itās barely even worth thinking about. In all likelihood, this game will most likely end with a convincing Brighton victory.
Score prediction: 2-0 for Brighton
Option #1
Bet: Brighton Victory
Odds Range: 1.65-1.88
Option #2
Bet: Both Teams to Score (No)
Odds Range: 1.93-2.10
ā½Burnley vs Arsenal
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 16:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: This weekās surest play in the EPL with some killer odds given Arsenalās near-certain chances here.
CXSports says: This match doesnāt really need much to be said about it. Arsenalās topping the league while Burnleyās trailing way back in 16th place. And if that doesnāt tell you everything you need to know, then why not take a look at the past head-to-head history between these two ā in the last 10 games, Arsenalās come out on top 8 times, Burnley once, and the other game was a draw. And if that wasnāt convincing enough, then consider this ā Arsenalās goal difference across those 10 games is +12. Given that, we think itās pretty safe to say this one will be an easy victory for Arsenal. In fact, thereās a pretty good chance itāll end in a clean sheet.
Score prediction: 0-3 for Arsenal
Option #1
Bet: Arsenal Victory
Odds Range: 1.18-1.31
Option #2
Bet: Both Teams to Score (No)
Odds Range: 1.45-1.70
ā½Crystal Palace vs Brentford
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 16:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: This oneās for the punters whoāre looking for a long shot thatās not too long.
CXSports says: At first glance, this one looks like it should tilt in Palaceās favor. They are, after all, undefeated at home this season. But itās also hard to ignore the fact that Brentfordās coming into this with a bit of momentum (2 back-to-back victories, whereas Palace has a draw and a loss) while also holding a historical upper hand in this fixture. But hereās where things get interesting ā in their last 10, Palace has won just once, Brentford has won thrice, and the other six games ended in draws. So, where does that leave us with this match? Letās just say itās too close to call, but if forced to pick an outcome, a draw seems more likely than not.
Score prediction: 1-1 draw
Option #1
Bet: Draw
Odds Range: 3.30-3.75
Option #2
Bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Odds Range: 1.57-1.70
ā½Fulham vs Wolves
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 16:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: Given past head-to-head stats, thereās a nice over/under play here with some solid odds given the chances of seeing some goals in this game.
CXSports says: This oneās another too close to call game (weāll get to that in a bit), so letās kick off with something you can take to the bank ā the average goals per game in past Fulham vs Wolves H2Hs fixtures is 2.66. Now, as for why this oneās too close to call ā despite their struggles this season, Wolves have done a decent job (all things considered) of securing at least a couple of draws in their last five games, which is perhaps a sign that theyāre not as down and out as we might think (theyāre still down and out, but at least they broke their losing streak). Now, that doesnāt mean Wolves are going to upset Fulham at home here, but it does mean we canāt be 100% certain they wonāt somehow manage to hold Fulham to a draw.
Score prediction: 2-1 for Fulham or 2-2 draw
Option #1
Bet: Over/Under (over 1.5)
Odds Range: 1.23-1.38
Option #2
Bet: Double Chance (Fulham / Draw)
Odds Range: 1.14-1.23
Want to get the best odds on these predictions?
HALF TIME ENTERTAINMENT
While it might be hard to believe, given their atrocious run in recent games, there was once a time when Liverpool was actually good.
And weāre not just talking about earlier in the season ā weāre talking about true greatness.
Like winning the UEFA Cup, FA Cup, and League Cup treble in the same season.
So, do you know what season that was?
Letās find out with a quick quiz from our friends at Masters of Trivia.
Question: In which year did Liverpool FC win the treble of the UEFA Cup, FA Cup, and League Cup?
A: 2001
B: 2005
C: 2010
D: 2019
Think you know the answer?
Read to the end to see if you were right.
SCORE PREDICTIONS [SECOND HALF]
ā½Tottenham vs Chelsea
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 18:30 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: A nice, solid double chance play with great chances and some decent value odds to go with it.
CXSports says: Historically, Chelsea has dominated this fixture (24W, 8L, 12D), but those games were a different era. As it stands right now, Tottenham has arguably been playing much better football. For instance, theyāre averaging 1.89 goals scored per match and just 0.78 goals conceded, while Chelseaās closer to 1.56 scored per game and 1.22 conceded. With that said, Tottenhamās been acting a little weird this season by delivering stronger results on the road than at home, so we might just see this match thatās a lot closer than anything else this week. So close, in fact, that weāre backing either side to take the victory here (with a very slim chance of a draw).
Score prediction: 1-2 or 2-1 for either side.
Option #1
Bet: Double Chance (Tottenham / Chelsea)
Odds Range: 1.21-1.32
Option #2
Bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Odds Range: 1.45-1.62
ā½Liverpool vs Aston Villa
šļøEnglish Premier League
Saturday 01 Nov; 21:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: If youāre a believer in momentum, this is the one for you ā massive odds on offer if both sides continue their current streaks.
CXSports says: Somethingās up with Liverpool ā four straight losses after opening the season looking like they were in top form. As for whatās really going on, we canāt really say. All we can do is point to the symptoms, such as their leaky defense thatās conceded a massive 14 goals this season. As for Villa, theyāre arriving at this match with a bit of momentum behind them ā after a lackluster opening to the season, theyāve just posted four straight back-to-back victories. So this week, weāre forgetting about past head-to-head history and Liverpoolās theoretical dominance. Instead, weāre backing the momentum and tipping an Aston Villa victory, albeit by a narrow margin.
Score prediction: 1-2 for Aston Villa
Option #1
Bet: Aston Villa
Odds Range: 4.65-5.75
Option #2
Bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Odds Range: 1.47-1.65
ā½West Ham vs Newcastle
šļøEnglish Premier League
Sunday 02 Nov; 15:00 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: Probably not the most exciting game weāve got for you this week, but itās still worth taking a look at if only for the fact that itās the only EPL match at this time on Sunday.
CXSports says: The last time these two met (back in March), West Ham just managed to edge it 1-0. But since then, theyāve gone on to demonstrate remarkably poor form ā 0.78 goals scored per match against 2.22. conceded. Not that we need to say it, but thatās shockingly bad. Newcastle, on the other hand, has performed decently this season, even if thereās nothing remarkable to speak of ā an even blend of results, a balanced goal difference, and a comfortable (lower) mid-table position. And thatās probably all the stability needed to topple West Ham in this game without too much difficulty.
Score prediction: 1-2 for Newcastle
Option #1
Bet: Newcastle Victory
Odds Range: 1.50-1.67
Option #2
Bet: Over/Under (Over 2.5)
Odds Range: 1.62-1.80
ā½Man City vs Bournemouth
šļøEnglish Premier League
Sunday 02 Nov; 17:30 (Europe/Paris)
Why weāre watching: Great value odds on Man City, who just so happen to have a near-perfect record in this fixture!
CXSports says: Bournemouth got this season off to an exceptionally solid start, but seems to have lost some of its momentum since then, despite the fact itās still clinging to second place on the table. Man City, on the other hand, seems to be gradually shoring up their performance with a notably better run in their last five games compared to their season-opening performance. That should give them some confidence coming into this game ā confidence that will only be further reinforced by their historical dominance in this fixture (a near-perfect record of 17 victories in the last 18 matches). Expect that record to continue into this game.
Score prediction: 3-1 for Man City
Option #1
Bet: Man City Victory
Odds Range: 1.36-1.52
Option #2
Bet: Over/Under (Over 2.5)
Odds Range: 1.39-1.57
Make your sportsbook work for you!
THE FINAL SCORE
Your weekly dose of inspiration, brought to you by Masters of Trivia.
If you were in Liverpoolās shoes right now, no one could blame you if you were feeling like everything was going against you.
Fortunately, however, not all hope is lost.
Hereās what the great Henry Ford has to say:
Moral of the story?
If things seem to be working against you, maybe those things are precisely what you need to finally take off.
Learn to harness their forces.
Want to learn more about Henry Ford?
Masters of Trivia is the only trivia app where every player is rewarded. Play all the trivia quizzes you can handle and earn real rewards simply for participating.
Take Masters of Trivia for a spin with the Henry Ford Trivia Quiz today.
PS: The answer to this weekās question was [A] ā Liverpool won the treble way back in 2001. Discover more trivia like this with the Liverpool F.C. Trivia Quiz.
